Seminar "Modern demography" Topic: Fertility change in urban and rural areas of developing countries. Presentation by Mathias Lerch
The International Laboratory Population and Health of the HSE cordially invites you to the next session of the scientific seminar "Modern Demography," which will be held on May 24. Our guest is Mathias Lerch, PhD, research scientist of the Laboratory of fertility and well-being of Max Planck Institute for demographic research.
Fertility change in urban and rural areas of developing countries
Mathias Lerch
The study of the rural-urban gradient in fertility is crucial to understand better the sources of urban growth and the progress in national fertility transitions in developing countries. We test from a long-term perspective the hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped evolution in the rural-urban fertility ratio and investigate the proximate determinants of this trend in Africa, Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean, using multiple surveys for 60 countries. The results reveal important differences between world regions in the evolution of rural excess fertility. However, urban fertility decline was very similar across regions, even though there are important inequalities within cities. The regional differences in the trends in rural excess fertility are explained mainly by the time lag between the urban and rural transition onsets and, to a lesser extent, by the rural-urban differences in the pace of decline once it has started. The implications of these results for our understanding of the process of urban population growth and of the international variation in the pace of fertility transitions are discussed.
Time: 17.00 - 19.00
Venue: Bolshoy Trehsvyatitelsky pereulok, 3, Room 511.
Working language will be English.
If you need to order a pass to the building of the HSE, please inform about your participation by e-mail vsokolova@hse.ru (Vera Sokolova) by 12.00 on May 24, 2018.